From Monash Magazine, February 2015:
One question being asked over and again by governments and agencies about the Ebola epidemic is: how many more cases to expect?
Between the asking and the answering lie hugely complex calculations.
These must take into account all that has happened with the spread of the virus so far, and attempt to whittle down a massive range of possibilities into the brutally simple figures of how many people the virus is going to infect and how many are going to die. Read more.